The US Economy Could Contract 11 Percent in 2020
Forward-looking uncertainty data suggest a steep economic decline.
The US Economy Could Contract 11 Percent in 2020Paper The Unprecedented Stock Market Reaction to COVID-19
No previous infectious disease outbreak, including the Spanish Flu, has impacted the stock market as powerfully as the COVID-19 pandemic. We use text-based methods to develop this point with respect to large daily stock market moves back to 1900 and with respect to overall stock market volatility back to 1985. We also argue that policy responses to the COVID-19 pandemic provide the most compelling explanation for its unprecedented stock market impact.
Published in: Covid Economics: Vetted and Real-Time Papers
- Authored by
- 2020
- Coronavirus
Read the Research in Chicago Booth Review